World Population May Hit 15+ Billion by 2100 Says Author, More Than Twice Current Global Population: Disaster Looms

(PRWEB) June 04, 2012

Projections from the United Nations suggest that humans may number 10 billion by 2050 and 15 billion by the year 2100. Both of these statistics spell serious problems for a world having difficulty meeting the food and water needs of its current seven billion inhabitants, according to Canadian academic and author Steve Bareham.

Until recently, said Bareham, an instructor at Selkirk College, Nelson, B.C, the UN cited about nine billion by 2050 (see footnote*), then a levelling off and gradual decline, as global prosperity spread and as developing nations followed the lead of the developed countries toward fewer children per family. Evidence now, however, indicates fertility rates are not declining as expected in the developing countries, so the revision to the higher ranges has a lot more credence. If those come to pass, its difficult to imagine a better world for todays young people by 2050, let alone 2100.

Bareham discovered the little-known UN statistics while researching courses in cross cultural communication and conflict management. The research led to the release of two eBooks that draw attention to an issue that could be absolutely catastrophic within four decades. The books are titled PROGENETER, an acronym for progenetic enhancement & entropy termination. They are published through Summa Publishing.

In addition to food and water disparities, its likely that people will face worsening pollution, more dramatic climate change, socio-economic strife, growing inequities between developed and developing nations, and the extinction of thousands more animal species. While 15 billion is unfathomable, even the 10 billion number by 2050 is the equivalent of another China and another India, he said.

The epicentre of growth will be Africa; its population now stands at about one billion but is projected to reach 3.6 billion by 2100, and that continent already has problems supporting its peoples. Conversely, he notes, the Italians and several other European nationalities, are theoretically on their way to extinction because their birth rates have dropped below the 2.1 replacement ratio.

Many statisticians believe the higher population projections are likely to transpire, given the exponential growth of humans over time. Consider, said Bareham, that it took from the beginning of time until the year 1804 for one billion people to inhabit the earth. Then, human numbers exploded:

World Population May Hit 15+ Billion by 2100 Says Author, More Than Twice Current Global Population: Disaster Looms